Tag Archive: fundamental analyses

All Eyes on Manufacturing Data

October 13, 2015

This week is filled with high impact US data and in the end of the week we should have a fairly clear picture of the current state of the US economy. On Wednesday we have the Retail Sales, followed by inflation and manufacturing data on Thursday. I’d say the manufacturing... View Article

4th Quarter is All About the FED

October 7, 2015

The last quarter of 2015 is most likely going to be fairly volatile. We still have the possibility that the FED will act some time before the end of the year, even though lately it seems rather unlikely. Some analysts speculate that there will be QE4 and/or NIRP before anything... View Article

No Change in Federal Funds Rate

September 18, 2015

The long waited FOMC meeting is behind us and the outcome was clearly disappointing for the USD bulls. The US dollar is down across the board and the Federal Funds Rate is exactly at the same level as it was 24 hours ago. In short – no change in the... View Article

Another Sell-Off in Euro ?

September 4, 2015

Euro is lower across the board and is quietly consolidating yesterday’s losses. The sell off that was triggered by Mario Draghi’s comments on Euro area worsening economic conditions was somewhat weaker than the Euro bears hoped because the EURUSD exchange rate dropped only by 110 pips. Futhermore, so far there... View Article

Data Dependant FED

August 7, 2015

FED has insisted everytime, since the liftoff talks began, that any kind of rate hike is data dependant but nevertheless, the market has created clear time targets, such as September & December meetings to be the potential beginnings of the new tightening cycle. In itself, those time-targets are perfectly reasonable... View Article

FED’s Rate Hike, US Quarterly GDP

July 24, 2015

Next week is going to be absolutely crucial for the USD as we have several key marco data releases that could have a significant impact on FED’s rate hike decisions. On top of that, today’s Markit Flash Manufacturing PMI from China confirmed that the slowdown there is getting more severe,... View Article